Monday, March 17, 2008

Around the League: March 16, 2008

Today's news, links, crap, whatever you want to call it.
  • Nick Cafardo of the Boston Globe has Jason Varitek's agent Scot Boras saying that the Red Sox would have to come to them about a contract extension.
  • MLB Rumors is making a list of their top 100 prospects. Our own Carlos Truinfel falls in at #50. 50. Carlos Triunfel, Mariners- Considered to be the next A-Rod, Triunfel hit .296 at the age of 16 at Single-A. He is the shortstop of the future for the Mariners and will likely see MLB action in 2009.
  • Today's Spring Training scores. ATL 2 STL 4; CLE 4 PHI 6; DET 3 CIN 5; FLA 5 MIN 3; HOU 12 LAD 10; NYM 7 WSH 3; TOR 1 PIT 4; BOS 4 NYY 8; CWS 4 MIL 4; KC 2 OAK 6; SD 4 ARI 8; SF 2 COL 4.

Fantasy Plus: Adrian Beltre

Next up in the Fantasy Plus series, is 3B Adrian Beltre.

Beltre is generally a slow first-half player and doesn't get going at the plate until after the All-Star break. He has managed 20-plus homers and 80-plus RBI for two straight seasons, though, making him a decent low-end No. 1 Fantasy 3B.

Beltre seems like he's been around forever, but he's only 27 years old, has a boatload of natural ability, and is far from washed up. He's not likely to ever reproduce the numbers he put up in his contract year as a Dodger in 2004, but that doesn't preclude him from being a serviceable option for your fantasy squad if you don't own one of the elite at third base. Those suffering from the struggles of Morgan Ensberg, the inconsistency of Aramis Ramirez, or the injuries of Melvin Mora should look into his availability.


Last season, Beltre set a career high in doubles and posted homer and RBI totals that were second only to the marks from his freakish 2004 campaign. In fact, with the exception of '04, Beltre has been one of the most consistent producers at his position, and he's still shy of his 29th birthday. Beltre slugged 100 points higher on the road (.533) than at Safeco Field (.430) last season, so he likely would benefit from a move to a more hitter-friendly venue. Nonetheless, he should deliver plenty of help with his usual across-the-board production in '08.
My Analysis
Adrian Beltre has been a quality fantasy third baseman during his Mariners career. I think that most of us can come to the reality that Beltre won't return to his 2004 LA Dodger form, but he's been a solid player. He's a steady producer in all stat categories. He's topped 20 HR and 80 RBI in each of the last couple seasons. He's been passed by many, but he's usually around in rounds 10-12, and should be picked up. He's no Alex Rodriguez, but after him and Mike Lowell, there's not much, other than a few fantasy bench players at best.

16.03.08 MIL 17 SEA 3; SEA 5 TEX 3

A double dose somewhere between decent effort and crapshoot today in Cactus League action.

Vs. Milwaukee
BoxScore. Recap.

SEATTLE AB R H BI I Suzuki CF 5 0 0 0
Y Betancourt SS 1 0 0 0
T Hulett SS-2B 3 0 0 0
J Vidro DH 3 0 0 0
B Johnson PR-DH 0 0 0 0
R Johnson PH-DH 1 0 0 0
R Sexson 1B 3 1 2 1
M Wilson LF 1 0 0 0
W Balentien RF 4 1 2 1
K Johjima C 4 1 3 0
A Moore PR-C 0 0 0 0
W Bloomquist 2B 2 0 0 0
O Navarro SS 1 0 0 0
M Morse LF-1B 4 0 1 1
M Tuiasosopo 3B 4 0 2 0

IP H R ER BB SO HR
C Silva (L,0-2) 4 1-3 13 10 9 1 2 1
R Feierabend 1 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 0
S White 2 6 4 4 1 0 1
J Huber 1 4 3 3 0 0 0

@ Texas
BoxScore. Recap.

SEATTLE AB R H BI
J Reed LF 3 0 0 2
J Lopez 2B 4 0 1 0
L Valbuena 2B 0 0 0 0
R Ibanez DH 3 0 0 0
J Dominguez PR-DH 0 0 0 0
B Wilkerson RF 4 1 0 0
A Beltre 3B 4 1 2 1
M Kinkade 3B 0 0 0 0
G Norton 1B 4 0 1 0
J Clement C 2 0 0 0
D Carroll PR 0 1 0 0
J Burke C 1 0 1 1
M Cairo SS 3 1 1 0
C Jimerson CF 2 1 1 0

IP H R ER BB SO HR
C Baek (W,2-0) 4 1 0 0 1 1 0
R Dickey 3 3 0 0 0 2 0
E O'Flaherty 1 2-3 1 2 2 4 2 0
C Jimenez (S,2) 1-3 1 0 0 0 0 0

Balentien vs. Clement

I don't know if this would become a series, but I'm going to start looking at players and comparing them. To start, I'm going to look at the Mariners' top prospects now that Adam Jones is gone, Jeff Clement and Wladimir Balentien. I'm going to assess each player's abilities based on stats and what I've seen. So, let's start 'er up.

Jeff Clement is seen as the catcher of the future for the Mariners, but when will that future be? Kenji Johjima is under contract for one more season, and it's rumored that the Mariners would like to have him back behind the plate again in 2009, and possibly beyond. On Joh for a sec, why not have him back? He's played solid in his first two seasons in North America, hitting and fielding wise and works really well with the Mariners pitching staffs. The Mariners aren't big on having Clement play first base this season if Richie Sexson goes down the tube, and the club also prefers to go with Jose Vidro at DH. Clement could DH or play first in 2009, as both Vidro and Sexson will become free agents. Clement will be getting a few more oppurtunities this season, for one, he's ready to play in the MLB, and two, Kenji Johjima's future is still uncertain. Wladimir Balentien on the other hand, has been looked by with Adam Jones blocking him. Now Wlad has nowhere to go but up, and will. He is looking to make this club this Spring, and could very well do so. The chance of Wlad getting some outfield time could greatly improve with a domino effect including Raul Ibanez, Jose Vidro and Richie Sexson occurs.

Strengths:
Jeff Clement has an amazing eye at the plate, and will make contact more than the average person. He has plus power, so he won't be a David Ortiz, but will show more than Jamie Burke. Clement's quick wrists give him a line-drive swing, which allow him to hit the ball solidly both ways, with power. He runs like a regular catcher would speed wise, but has great baserunning instincts. He'll be able to produce in the middle of the lineup for years to come.


Wladimir Balentien has a ton of natural power, that will allow him to pile up some homeruns in the future. He's improved his judement at the plate and plate discipline over the past couple years. He has a cannon arm that would work great in right of left field.

Weaknesses:
The main thing that Clement lacks, is athleticism. He is a good fielder, don't get me wrong. His arm is fine and developing quite well, but the question is his ability to block pitches in the dirt, and go side to side. That would be his downfall.

The biggest problem for Wlad, is his free-swinging nature. His .291 average last season with Tacoma showed his improvement from his .230 average with San Antonio in 2006. He'll strike out a lot and probably not walk enough, but things can change in a heartbeat.

Tools:
Hitting for Contact: As I mentioned, Wlad takes a free-swinging aproach to the plate. He'll strikeout more than your average player, but he can make contact. He's no Ichiro at the dish, but he's more than Richie Sexson (I hope).

Clement brings patience beyond his years to the dish. He limits strikeouts and walks often. There is no reason that he can't be a .270-280 hitter in his career. Clement still has room to improve, and when he maximizes his potential, look for that average to creep closer to .290.




Hitting for Power: Clement is your typical power hitter, who doesn't have to go very far out of his way to drive pitches. He relies on timing and balance to hit the longballs. He may not be cranking 40 out, but he should be able to hit out 25-30 with a little but of expierence. Remember his few at bats near the end of 2007?

Wlad's Master's Degree is in the power department. He can hit the ball out of the park all day long. What Wlad needs though, is consistancy. It's an old sports cliche, but he is trying to hard to get the ball too far. Instead, he needs to slow everything down, and allow his smooth swings to help him clear the fences, instead of his quick, untimed thwaks.

Glove:
Balentien will make almost all of the simple plays that he is expected to. He won't go over the top to make a play, but he will make the catch on anything withen his range.

Clement isn't a bad defensive catcher, but injuries have slowed down his progress, and halted his development for about a year. Now that his knees are fine, he is more comfortable in the crouch, and can get the throw to second or third off a lot quicker. He has a reasonably quick glove, but won't win too many Gold Gloves in his career. He's good, maybe more than that, but isn't spectacular.

Arm:
Clement's arm is still in the development process, and might not be completely ready yet. Once he gets the mechanincs down pat, then he will develop his consistancy, which will untimately lead to him gaining a superior arm.

Balentien on the other hand, has an arm that is years beyond what would be expected. He has superior strength and accuracy in the ol' cannon. His only problem however, is that he tends to let it fly too much, which leads to him overthrowing his throws, making him look like he is below his actual abilities. An outfield with Wlad and Ichiro. Nobody would try for an extra base ever again.

Speed/Baserunning:
Balentien's speed isn't going to make much, if any difference in his career, because he will most likely be a power hitter, with some mobility in the outfield. He's an aggressive baserunner, who takes the chances, but as soon as he learns a little more about what he's doing, and realizes that he's not Ichiro on the basepaths, he'll be a solid baserunner.

Jeff Clement is your typical catcher on the basepaths. He's closer to slow than fast, and has somewhat of an idea as to what's going on when he's on base. He's nothing special here, but most catchers aren't known for their speed. Are any?

Grading: Now that we've looked at the tools of both players, I'm going to hand out their report cards, before we decide who's is better now, and in the future.

Wladimir Balentien
Contact C+
Power A
Speed C+
Arm A
Glove B

Jeff Clement
Contact B
Power B+
Speed C+
Arm B
Glove B

Now time for the ultimate decision: who is better? If you take a look at my grades, most of us will automatically assume that Wlad is better because he has a couple of 'A's' (not of the Oakland variety) and Clement doesn't. Instead, Clement looks more rounded as a player, and his good at everything, and Balentien is good in some areas, but not consistant in all. For right now, I'm going to say that Wlad will make the most impact when he enters the Majors, and will either excel, or slowly fall out of the game. Five years from now, I think that Clement will be the better of the two. Catcher is a tough position because you have to go through a rigorous development process, that sometimes will end a catcher's career. Now that Clement has found himself healthy, he will continue to improve, and become a top catcher in the MLB.

I'd like to thank Jason Churchill from ProspectInsider for his scouting reports.

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Around the League: March 15, 2008

Today's MLB whatever,
  • Ken Rosenthal revisits at the end of his most recent post, 2001, when the Mariners started off 20-4, and had the division locked up before May. Rosenthal talks about how the Angels may want to add another starter to fill a 14-16 start void that will be left by John Lackey and Kelvim Escobar's injuries. The Angels could go in to the scrap heap of free agents left; Horocio Ramirez, David Wells, and Jeff Weaver is all that is left. The Angels have a surplus of outfielder, so they could make a trade. The Brewers Dave Bush and Chris Capuono could get some interest. Or the Angels could jump in to the Joe Blanton sweepstakes. The Angels may decide to go with in house options such as Ercin Santana, Nick Adenhart, and Joe Saunders.
  • The Pirates have signed Ian Snell to a three year extension worth $8M with a $600K signing bonus. There are two option years on the deal, totalling around $16M. This looks like a good deal for the Pirates, because the arbitration rate for young pitchers these days are crazy.
  • The Marlins are going to sign Jeff Conine to a one day contract so he can retire as a Marlin. Conine, also known as "Mr. Marlin" holds many club records, and was vital in the clubs 1997 and 2003 World Series titles.
  • Spring Training action from today. SD 6 LAD 3; ATL 3 STL 2; BOS 3 PIT 6; DET 2 TB 7; FLA 7 LAD 6; NYM 4 HOU 6; PHI 6 CIN 2; TOR 8 MIN 3; WSH 3 BAL 11; DET 4 NYM 7; CLE 6 NYY 7; LAA 1 CHC 4; CWS 5 ARI 4; SD-COL Cancelled; SF 3 KC 13; TEX 7 OAK 9.

Bullpen Battles Updated

It's time to take another look at the Mariners' position battles, but our focus tonight is going to be on the bullpen. We're going to look more at the players in the battles, then the battles themselves.

RA Dickey
Dickey has never left the running for the long relief role, and is now has a fifty percent chance of getting that role. In 9 IP so far this Spring, he has a 2.00 ERA, giving up two runs on six hits. He's struck out four, walked three, and hit one. The ERA is nice, and the strikeouts aren't bad, but it's the baseunners that have me a little worried. Yes his WHIP would only be about 1.20 or something, which is pretty good. I think that it's his walk rate that has me worried more than anything. Other than a statistical update, there's nothing new on Dickey.

Cha Seung Baek
Baek is, and seems to have always been a wild card in the Mariners' organization. He hasn't found himself in a Major League role, and maintained that. He's been up and down several times, which would be why he is out of options. In 7 IP so far this Spring, he had an ERA of 1.29, giving up six hits, and only one run. He has walked none, but hit one. He has three strikeouts as well. Nothing shocking or truly interesting. I like the no walks, but wouldn't mind a few more strikeouts. Like Dickey, he has a fifty percent chance of getting the job. The idea of using Baek as a middle reliever has been tossed around the blogosphere. Who knows. The Mariners may be forced in to using Baek in a mid relief role because of all of the uncertainties with the rest of the bullpen.

Ryan Rowland-Smith
RRS is all over the map for what his potential job could be with the Mariners. He could be a middle reliever and as a set up man. The idea of him being a set up man is been focused on more than the idea of him being a middle reliever. To be honest, I've only heard of him being a mid reliever a few times, and most of those times were my thoughts. He's left handed, and could help fill the shoes left my George Sherrill. I think that we're going to be talking a lot about not having Sherrill with this team anymore. In 8.2 IP this Spring, RRS has an ERA of 0.00, giving up seven hits, and one un earned run. He's walked five and struck out five. The ERA is great, but the walk rate is not. I don't know why I am so paranoid about relievers' WHIP, but stats don't lie, because a reliver with a WHIP of 2.24 isn't going to get the ball to the closer with the same lead, as a reliever with a WHIP of 1.27 is he? As soon as RRS gets that walk rate down to around 2-3/9, then he could become a solid reliever/set up man. Again, basically just a stat update here.




Ryan Feierabend
A bright young prospect who may just find his way on to the Mariners. He was brought up through the Mariners' system as a starter, which I think that he'd be better off as, but if he's with the Mariners, it would be a mid-relief role, or maybe a set-up role. I don't know why this guy hasn't been talked about as a long reliever. Brandon Morrow either. It would help both develop as a starter. So far this Spring, Feierabend has an ERA of 3.68 in 7.1 IP. He's given up three runs on four hits, with four walks, one hit batter, and four strikeouts. ERA looks like it will stabilize, and he hasn't given up many hits. The strikout rate looks good, but I'd like to see the walk rate go down a bit though. This is another guy who won't go away.



Eric O'Flaherty
O'Flaherty will be the last guy that we look at for tonight. He has only gotten 4.2 IP so far, but that can send mixed signals. It could be that they've seen enough and are ready to decide on him already, or he is falling out of the running for a big league job. He's given up three hits, and has an ERA of 0.00. He's stuck out four, and hit one. I'm not going to criticize anything about this guy, because there isn't anything that I really deem criticizeable. Maybe he has fallen out of favour with the Mariners.

I'm going to go over all of the position battles, and perhaps all of the Mariners players over the next four-five days before I leave, so you have some reading material while I'm gone.

16/03/08 MIL 8 SEA 4; Felix "Mugged"

The Mariners lost again to the Milwaukee Brewers, who by the way don't suck anymore, in a game where King Felix looked more like Queen Felix.

BoxScore. Recap.

SEATTLE AB R H BI
I Suzuki CF 4 1 1 0
J Reed CF 1 0 0 0
J Vidro DH 4 0 1 0
R Ibanez LF 4 1 1 2
C Jimerson LF 1 0 0 0
R Sexson 1B 4 1 3 0
G Norton 1B 1 0 0 0
B Wilkerson RF 4 1 0 0
W Balentien RF 1 0 0 0
M Cairo 3B-SS 5 0 3 1
J Lopez 2B 2 0 0 0
T Hulett PR-2B 2 0 0 0
J Burke C 3 0 3 1
Y Betancourt SS 3 0 0 0
M Tuiasosopo 3B 1 0 0 0

IP H R ER BB SO HR
F Hernandez (L,0-1) 4 1-3 7 5 5 1 5 2
C Reitsma 1 5 3 3 1 0 1
A Rhodes 2-3 1 0 0 1 2 0
M Lowe 1 1 0 0 0 1 0
J Putz 1 1 0 0 0 3 0
R Corcoran 1 1 0 0 0 1 0

Fantasy Plus: Richie Sexson

Like I said in my Felix Hernendez fantasy analysis, I'm going to be looking at a lot of the Mariners over the next couple days. Next up in the series, is struggling first basemen Richie Sexson.


Sexson hit a career-low .205 last season and struck out 100-plus times for the eighth time in his career. He is no longer a 40-homer guy, and if he hits 30 homers in 2008, that would exceed expectations. Sexson is no longer a must-have Fantasy 1B and is now more of a backup option in larger mixed leagues.

Like a presidential candidate, Sexson skillfully blamed injuries for his flirtation with the Mendoza line last season without directly blaming injuries. "People don't want to hear that, and I would never want to be that guy that blames anything on stuff like that," he said. "I had my reasons [for struggling]. I know what those were. And I don't want to talk about it." Sexson is healthy now, so, for his sake and the team's, hopefully he can re-discover his stroke this season. He's in the last year of his contract, and the Mariners won't bring him back next season. If he struggles, don't expect the team to show as much patience this year.


Mariners management has gone on record saying they appreciate Sexson's 40 homer potential, even though he hasn't cracked that many since arriving in Seattle, and will take the 150 whiffs and miniscule average that comes with it. But that just isn't good enough for fantasy owners. Sexson is lumped into an unfortunate group of corner infielders that offer high power potential at the expense of a handful of other stats, a group that includes Reds outfielder Adam Dunn and Blue Jays third baseman Troy Glaus.Fantasy owners need to recognize that Sexson hits nearly 40 points higher after the All-Star break, and in a career 4,214 at bats, he's hit below .250 in the first three months of the season. You probably say to yourself, the slow start in batting average is fine assuming he crushes a significant number of long balls. However, you'd be disappointed because the three months in which he has the most home runs are July, August, and September. In reality, Sexson is in the fourth or fifth tier of fantasy first baseman for a reason: he simply isn't a consistent fantasy producer. And his abysmal spring training isn't doing anything to help his draft day value.

My Analysis
What Richie Sexson is going to do this year is up in the air. He needs, and probably wants to hit around 30-35 homers, and see his terrible .205 BA from last season rise up to atleast .250. You can't expect much out of Sexson because of how is he's gone from a must-start first baseman to mostly a backup options if your regular 1B is out. Sexson is in a contract year, which usually means that the player will play better, because he knows that nothing is gaurenteed for next season. You can consider Sexson a sleeper because not many people have him in their wishlists. He could be a decent mid-late draft pick, but make sure that you have somebody else there, because it's uncertain if Sexson can ascent back up to his All-Star caliber self.

Saturday, March 15, 2008

Mariners Want Betancourt to Run

John McLaren said so long ago that I don't have a link for it, that he wants his team to steal more bases this year, and one guy that he wants to steal a lot more, is Yuniesky Betancourt. Mac said that he thinks Yuni could be a 20 steal guy, but hasn't been much of a theif over the past few seasons. Last year he stole 5 bases in 9 attempts, which is down from the 11 he stole in 19 attempts back in 2006. This is what Yuni had to say about stealing 20 bases.

"That would be a good goal to achieve. I'm young and fresh in legs."

Around the League: March 15, 2008

Time for what's gone on today in the MLB.
  • The Mariners recently updated their pictures for each biography on their site. I was going to turn the pictures in to a post, but I figured it would be better just to have them shown along the way, or have you check them out yourselves if you're that interested.
  • Tony Massarotti says that Manny Ramirez is planning on being a Red Sock for atleast the next four years. Ramirez has two options years for '09 and '10 worth $20M each. I guess that he is expecting a two year extension on top of that.
  • Susan Slussar of the San Francisco Chronicle, says that the A's and Red Sox are talking about Coco Crisp. Crisp has $11M garunteed on his contract for the next two seasons, and if his option is bought out. So price isn't an issue, and the A's could use some outfield help. The Red Sox may target Chris Denorfia as a return for Crisp.
  • Some scores to pass on from today. LAD 3 SD 3; ATL 6 HOU 15; BAL 6 FLA 7; CIN 6 BOS 14; LAD 6 WSH 1; MIN 11 PHI 2; NYY 11 DET 7; PIT 1 TOR 4; TB 11 ATL 10; STL 10 NYM 3; TB 7 NYY 2; ARI 4 LAA 5; CHC 3 CWS 5; COL 5 TEX 10; KC 3 MIL 8; OAK 9 SD 3; SF 2 OAK 10.

Week In Review; March 9-15

Time for something a little bit new here. I'm going to take a look at everything that has happened over the last week for the Mariners, and analysize it. This is a key part of Spring Training so I'll be covering a lot more thanks to this idea.

March 9

  • Seattle 0 Milwaukee 2
  • Miguel Batista pitched three innings and struck out two, but walked three and gave up two runs on three hits.
  • Jake Woods pitched two scoreless innings, striking out 4.
  • Adrian Beltre and Jose Vidro each had one hit, and all the hits the Mariners would get.

March 10

  • Seattle 8 White Sox 9
  • Erik Bedard gave up four runs on 8 hits, including 2 HR.
  • Ryan Feireabend pitched 1.1 innings, striking out one.
  • Brandon Morrow gave up four runs on 2 hits and 3 BB, in 0 IP.
  • Wlad Balentien went 4-5 hitting 2 2B, 1 RBI and 1 SB.
  • Jose Vidro went 2-5 with 1 R and 1 RBI.
  • Kiger went 2-2 with a 2B and 1 RBI.

March 11

  • Seattle 1 Colorado 4
  • Felix pitched 5 scoreless innings, giving up 3 hits and getting 3 K.
  • JJ Putz gave up 2 ER, and struck out 2 in 1 IP.
  • Ichiro 0-4
  • Richie Sexson hit 1 HR
  • Charlton Jimerson had 2 SB
  • Brad Wilkerson went 2-3

March 12

  • Milwaukee 1 Seattle 5
  • Carlos Silva struck out 1 and gave up 7 H in 5 IP
  • Aurthor Rhodes and Mark Lowe each pitched 1 perfect inning
  • Wlad Balentien 1-4 2B, R, RBI
  • Mike Morse 3-4, 2B, 2 RBI
  • Migeul Cairo 2B, R
  • Vidro 2B

March 13

  • San Francisco 3 Seattle 3 F/10
  • Jarrod Washburn gave up 2 R (1 ER) and 6 H, in 5 IP, with 1 BB and 1 K
  • RA Dickey gave up 1 R on 2 H in 2 IP
  • Miguel Cairo 1-5 HR
  • Ichiro 1-4, 1 R
  • Raul Ibanez 2-4, 2 RBI
  • Brad Wilkerson 2-4
  • Mike Morse 3-3, 1 R, 1 SB

March 14


  • Colorado 4 Seattle 9
  • Miguel Batista gave up 2 ER on 3 H and 1 BB, while striking out 5
  • Ryan Feierabend gave up 2 ER on 2 H and 1 BB, with 1 K in 2 IP
  • Ichiro 2-4 HR, 2 RBI
  • Yuniesky Betancourt 2-4, R
  • Adrian Beltre 2-4, HR, 2 R, 2 RBI
  • Richie Sexson 1-3, R, 2B
  • Greg Nortan 2-3, R, 3 RBI
  • Jose Lopez 2-1, 2B, R, RBI

March 15


  • Seattle 8 San Francisco 14
  • Erik Bedard pitched a poor four innings, giving up 8 runs (6 ER) on 7 hits and 1 BB, but K'd 5
  • Sean Green pitch 1/3 of an inning that he would like to forget, giving up 6 runs on 4 hits and 1 BB.
  • Yuniesky Betancourt 2-3, 2B, 2 R
  • Raul Ibanez 1-3, R, RBI
  • Greg Nortan 2-4, HR, RBI, 2 R
  • Kenji Johjima 1-3 Grand Slam

I realize now that I've completed this post that I had included mostly stats. Now that I have a better idea as to what I'm doing, I'll be able to include more of an in depth analysis for the next, well, week of Spring Training, before I leave for Spring Training down in Arizona. I will bw bringing back tons of pictures.

Fantasy Plus: Felix Hernendez

Haven't done one of these for a while, and as it's draft time for most of us, I'll be doing a few more of these over the next couple of days. Right now, we're going to look at Felix Hernendez.

CBSSports.com
The regal expectations flowed from Hernandez after having just 14 starts at Triple-A three years ago and then a 2.67 ERA and 77 strikeouts in 12 starts for Seattle late in 2005. But he began 2006 out of shape. "I was fat," Hernandez has said of a season in which he was 12-14 with a 4.52 ERA. Expect King Felix to make a move toward the elite of Fantasy Baseball this season. He is an outstanding pick after the top 10 aces are off the board.

FOX Sports
Even though Erik Bedard is the Opening Day starter, Hernandez has as much upside as any pitcher in the American League. He has given up just two runs in 11 innings this spring while Bedard has struggled. (RotoWire - Tue. Mar 11, 2008)



MLB.com
We may not have to wait much longer for the King's coronation. Although he struggled at times last season, Hernandez had the highest strikeout rate of any pitcher with at least a 2/1 groundout-to-flyout ratio. He also finished with a lofty .337 opponents' BABIP, suggesting that he'll allow fewer hits this year. Set to turn 22 shortly after Opening Day, the burgeoning ace appears poised to put it all together. At the very least, expect him to top 200 innings and 200 strikeouts for the first time.

My Analysis
Is it time to crown the King? With Erik Bedard named the Opening Day starter, and Felix moved into the two spot in the rotation, he won't have as much pressure. He has an amazing defence behind him, and a solid offence that he can count on. If he can stay healthy, you can expect around 200 IP, and 200 K. Felix will be 22 this season, and after a couple season's experience, he seems poised to prove that he is one of the game's elite pitchers. Don't be afraid to take him when his name comes up between rounds five and seven. He souldn't let you down.

15/03/08 SEA 8 SF 14

The Mariners kept it close untill the seventh inning, when the floodgates opened, leading to the Giants shallacking of the Mariners.

BoxScore. Recap.

SEATTLE AB R H BI
Y Betancourt SS 3 2 2 0
T Hulett 2B 1 0 0 0
J Vidro 1B 3 0 0 1
S Green P 0 0 0 0
E O'Flaherty P 0 0 0 0
S White P 0 0 0 0
J Clement PH 1 0 0 0
R Ibanez LF 3 1 1 1
R Rowland-Smith P 0 0 0 0
J Reed PH-RF 2 0 1 0
A Beltre 3B 4 0 2 0
M Tuiasosopo PR-3 0 1 0 0
G Norton RF-1B 4 2 2 1
K Johjima C 3 1 1 4
R Johnson C 0 0 0 1
W Balentien CF 2 0 0 0
J Lopez 2B 3 0 0 0
M Cairo PH-SS 1 0 1 0
E Bedard P 1 0 0 0
M Morse PH-LF 3 1 1 0

IP H R ER BB SO HR
E Bedard (L,1-1) 4 7 8 6 1 5 3
R Rowland-Smith 2 1 0 0 1 2 0
S Green 1-3 4 6 6 1 0 0
E O'Flaherty 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 0
S White 1 0 0 0 0 1 0

Huge News From Angels's Camp

Geoff Baker has some huge news coming from the LA Angels. Angels ace John Lackey will be out untill May, with a shoulder injury. That now leaves the Angels without their rop two starters, Lackey and Kelvim Escober, who will be out untill untill May or June.

Back to Mariners news. The Mariners will shut down Morrow for a few days to rest his tired arm. Morrow will play catch tomorrow, and then see how it goes. Morrow's case doesn't appear to be very serious, but without him, the Mariners will have a very thin bullpen. Mark Lowe, Arthur Rhodes, Chris Reitsma, Mark Lowe, and even Jon Huber are all coming off of injuries, and nobody knows yet what they will do to start the season.


The rest of the bulpen appears to be fine though. JJ Putz doesn't have any injuries reported. Eric O'Flaherty, Sean Green, Ryan Rowland-Smith, RA Dickey, Cha Seung Baek, among others all appear to be healthy. The M's are already without set-up man George Sherrill who was traded in the Erik Bedard deal, and will rely heavily on Brandon Morrow in the eighth inning role. The pressure will be even greater if whoever breaks camp as the team's left handed set-up man doesn't do too well. All I can says is, I hope that Morrow will be fine, and the Angel's injuries will mount up.

Bench Battle Down to Two?

Jason Churchill of Prospect Insider has some new information on the Mariners bench battle.

A team source concluded today that “the race for the bench jobs is probably down to two guys and I think you can guess who those two are.”

Churchill says that Mike Morse, who has been hitting really well, is almost a lock, except for what happens with Miguel Cairo. Cairo would be Morse's biggest competition, but I called Cairo a lock, and now, Churchill says that Cairo's contract doesn't mean anything.


“He (Cairo I think) is guaranteed the 800,” said the club representative. “Hopefully we can find room for both of them. But I know Mac wants the best guys for the job regardless of status. It’s something he spoke to our front office about over the winter."

Churchill says that if the Mariners go with a four man bench, it would start with Jamie Burke and Willie Bloomquist. If both Cairo and Morse make it, then Willie would be a pinch runner, infield reserve and Ichiro's backup, although I doubt that Ichiro will need a backup, Morse would handle all four corners, and Cairo would take the middle of the infield.

If Mac decided to go with a five man bench, then he would like a lefty bat. With that statement, Greg Nortan and Jeremy Reed are now into the mix. Yesterday, I talked about how the Marienrs were believed to be thinking about cutting Reed. That would leave Nortan, who can play first and third. There's a chance that he could play in the outfield, but I doubt that. Churchill goes on to say that if Reed makes the team, then Cairo would be useless, because Bloomquist would play in the middle infield, and Reed would become the fourth outfielder. There's one scenario for you. I don't have much of a scenario for Nortan, but Nortan brings a good bat to the bench, and Reed brings defence, and some speed.

Charlton Jimerson is falling off of the depth chart with Reed, and both have been outplayed by Nortan and Morse so far.

“If we need an infielder, there’s always (Yung Chi) Chen in his first option year. He can give the club time at second, and I’m not sure there’s much need to hang onto potential backups at third or short. They will start 150+ games.”

Back to Morse for a minute. As I've said every time I talk about Morse and him battling for a job, I've said that Morse is out of options, and would probably rather become a free agent then go to AAA Tacoma. The Mariners play San Francisco tonight, and I will pass on any info on the lineups that I can get.